January 25, 2016· 24 min

Episode 12: How a Consultant Foresaw the 2015 Commodities Crash

Barrie Wilkinson

Orality

Model

65%

Oral-dominant (speeches, podcasts, storytelling)

Speaker Breakdown

HostTracy Alloway(1,148 words)

M:93%

HostJoe Weisenthal(1,148 words)

M:93%

GuestBarrie Wilkinson(2,639 words)

M:28%

Oral Indicators

Agonistic32%

literally, completely, very

Engagement76%

you, our, your

Memory Aids100%

listen, now, like

Repetition100%

think (50x), kind (28x), crisis (28x)

Parallelism100%

And, listeners, you're gonna b..., But I'm happy to say that here..., But I think what the report wa...

Sound Patterns51%

24 question(s), alliteration: "markets move", alliteration: "barclays brief"

Formulaic Phrases9%

you know what, i mean

Literate Indicators

Hedging12%

might, could, may

Passive Voice9%

was called, was accepted, was buoyed

Abstract Nouns24%

investment, recommendation, liberalization

Subordination19%

while, however, since

Sentence Length43%

Avg: 15.7 words/sentence

Word Complexity47%

investment, analyze, anticipate

Academic Markers0%

Impersonal Style24%

356 personal pronouns found

Descriptive Style90%

literally, completely, definitely

Description

On this episode, co-host Tracy Alloway is joined by Bloomberg Markets reporter Luke Kawa for a journey back in time. As the global elite mingle at the World Economic Forum's annual meeting in Davos, Switzerland, we look back at a WEF gathering five years ago. Back then, the mood was buoyant -- markets had recovered from the 2008 financial crisis and the euro-zone debt crisis had yet to fully unfold. But Barrie Wilkinson, a partner at Oliver Wyman Ltd., wasn't feeling so jubilant. As bankers, regulators, and politicians congratulated themselves for a job well done, he was warning of a brewing crisis that would start with a crash in commodities prices in 2015. Now, parts of his 27-page report seem eerily prescient. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

← Episode 11: How David Bowie Became a Fin...Episode 13: How a Professor Won Gambling... →