April 25, 2016· 28 min

25: Americans Are Miserable, and It's Swaying The Election

Orality
Model
69%
Oral-dominant (speeches, podcasts, storytelling)

Speaker Breakdown

HostTracy Alloway(849 words)
M:29%
HostJoe Weisenthal(1,384 words)
M:92%
GuestPeter Atwater(1,257 words)
M:29%
GuestCarl Ricadonna(880 words)
M:28%

Oral Indicators

Agonistic56%
literally, completely, very
Engagement66%
you, our, your
Memory Aids100%
listen, now, right
Repetition100%
know (42x), it's (32x), think (30x)
Parallelism82%
And I'm Joe Wizenthal, managin..., But in both the Democratic and..., And so suddenly, New York City...
Sound Patterns75%
36 question(s), alliteration: "markets move", alliteration: "barclays brief"
Formulaic Phrases8%
you know what, i mean

Literate Indicators

Hedging18%
quite, suggests, might
Passive Voice10%
are deemed, is depressed, be gleaned
Abstract Nouns27%
investment, recommendation, city
Subordination10%
because, since, though
Sentence Length38%
Avg: 14.4 words/sentence
Word Complexity51%
investment, analyze, anticipate
Academic Markers0%
Impersonal Style34%
317 personal pronouns found
Descriptive Style99%
literally, completely, usually

Description

How can you tell whether people in any given country are happy or not? That's the topic we wrestle with on the latest edition of the Odd Lots podcast. First we talk to Peter Atwater of the firm Financial Insyghts about the growing signs that a significant swathe of the population is depressed and how that's showing up in markets, the culture and of course the election. Then we speak to Bloomberg Intelligence economist Carl Ricadonna about the so-called Misery Index, a super simple way of measuring the economy that has a surprisingly good track record for predicting Presidential results. We talk about the history of this indicator, and what it's telling us ahead of the November vote. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.