July 1, 2016· 23 min

35: There Was a Huge Opportunity The Night of the Brexit Vote

Orality
Model
81%
Oral-dominant (speeches, podcasts, storytelling)

Speaker Breakdown

HostTracy Alloway(1,226 words)
M:28%
HostJoe Weisenthal(564 words)
M:29%
GuestMike Smithson(1,924 words)
M:28%

Oral Indicators

Agonistic43%
completely, very, certainly
Engagement63%
you, our, your
Memory Aids100%
listen, so, right
Repetition100%
think (50x), people (35x), betting (31x)
Parallelism100%
So have you heard the story ab..., And I'm Tracy Alloway, executi..., So, Tracy, today's, episode is...
Sound Patterns75%
30 question(s), alliteration: "markets move", alliteration: "barclays brief"
Formulaic Phrases5%
i mean

Literate Indicators

Hedging16%
might, may, quite
Passive Voice7%
are supposed, were published, been taken
Abstract Nouns18%
investment, prescription, medication
Subordination13%
since, though, because
Sentence Length41%
Avg: 15.3 words/sentence
Word Complexity45%
investment, analyze, anticipate
Academic Markers8%
according to
Impersonal Style37%
252 personal pronouns found
Descriptive Style100%
automatically, family, completely

Description

In the runup to the Brexit vote polls were mixed. Some showed remain winning. Others showed leave winning. Nonetheless, markets, pundits, and bookmakers always seemed to be pretty sure that remain was going to win. Whoops! In this episode of Odd Lots, we speak to Mike Smithson, an expert on political betting in the UK. He explains how the markets got it so wrong and how, on the actual night of the vote, there were some huge opportunities for gamblers willing to take the right risks. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.