January 13, 2017· 27 min

62: How The Biggest Bull Market Could Come Crashing Down

Orality
Model
78%
Oral-dominant (speeches, podcasts, storytelling)

Speaker Breakdown

HostJoe Weisenthal(808 words)
M:29%
HostTracy Alloway(1,014 words)
M:29%
GuestPaul Schmelzing(2,244 words)
M:28%

Oral Indicators

Agonistic40%
absolutely, basically, amazing
Engagement67%
you, our, your
Memory Aids100%
listen, so, look
Repetition100%
market (32x), right (29x), about (27x)
Parallelism94%
And welcome to another edition..., And I'm Jill Weisenthal...., So, Joe, here, here's a a fun ...
Sound Patterns64%
28 question(s), alliteration: "markets move", alliteration: "barclays brief"
Formulaic Phrases14%
i mean, if you will, so to speak

Literate Indicators

Hedging18%
could, probably, arguably
Passive Voice7%
is finished, was considered, is perceived
Abstract Nouns24%
investment, edition, management
Subordination11%
because, although, since
Sentence Length42%
Avg: 15.6 words/sentence
Word Complexity47%
investment, analyze, anticipate
Academic Markers14%
according to, the literature
Impersonal Style33%
295 personal pronouns found
Descriptive Style100%
internationally, apply, especially

Description

The stock market is currently in one of its longest bull markets ever, but that doesn't hold a candle to what's going on bonds. According to Paul Schmelzing, a PhD candidate at Harvard and a visiting researcher at the Bank of England, you have to go back more than 500 years (!) to find a bull market in bonds longer than than the one we're experiencing now. After bonds tumbled since last summer (especially since the election) there's a lot of interest in whether we're on the cusp of a major downturn. In this week's Odd Lots, Schmelzing walks us through the history of bull and bear markets in bonds and explains why we could see some gigantic losses ahead. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.