November 4, 2021· 55 min

Citi’s Matt King on Why Inflation Isn’t Transitory and the Fed May Induce a Recession

Orality
Model
50%

Speaker Breakdown

HostTracy Alloway(1,639 words)
M:28%
HostJoe Weisenthal(2,460 words)
M:94%
GuestMatt King(6,258 words)
M:28%

Oral Indicators

Agonistic38%
definitely, very, obviously
Engagement63%
you, our, your
Memory Aids100%
listen, now, like
Repetition100%
like (140x), it's (94x), know (73x)
Parallelism100%
And I'm Joe Weisenthal...., So we're recording this Novemb..., But, I mean, it is true that t...
Sound Patterns36%
40 question(s), alliteration: "markets move", alliteration: "barclays brief"
Formulaic Phrases5%
you know what, i mean, to be honest

Literate Indicators

Hedging7%
maybe, suggest, could
Passive Voice6%
are excited, is related, is related
Abstract Nouns21%
investment, moment, inflation
Subordination11%
although, because, while
Sentence Length56%
Avg: 19.0 words/sentence
Word Complexity48%
investment, analyze, anticipate
Academic Markers3%
according to
Impersonal Style37%
699 personal pronouns found
Descriptive Style100%
supply, definitely, phenomenally

Description

Inflation is elevated these days, and markets around the world are pricing in rate hikes. However, risk assets like stocks are doing just fine. There seems to be some presumption that any Fed rate-hiking cycle will be mild and that ultimately inflation will settle down without too much further pain. Matt King, the Global Markets Strategist at Citigroup, isn't convinced. On this episode, he explains why what we're seeing now is the impact of a big "whack" to the global economy, one which has no natural mechanism to rediscover equilibrium or balance. He believes that, for the Fed to actually tame this inflation, it may need to go further than just modest hikes, and move aggressively to tamp down demand, possibly creating a recession. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.