November 27, 2023· 46 min

Goldman's Jan Hatzius Believes the Hard Part Is Over

Orality
Model
85%
Oral-dominant (speeches, podcasts, storytelling)

Speaker Breakdown

HostJoe Weisenthal(1,635 words)
M:29%
HostTracy Alloway(2,063 words)
M:29%
GuestJan Hatzius(3,941 words)
M:26%

Oral Indicators

Agonistic51%
very, completely, obviously
Engagement66%
you, our, your
Memory Aids100%
listen, so, like
Repetition100%
think (59x), it's (57x), like (55x)
Parallelism77%
And I'm Tracy Alloway...., But you're right...., And, of course, the irony is t...
Sound Patterns61%
51 question(s), alliteration: "markets move", alliteration: "barclays brief"
Formulaic Phrases5%
you know what, i mean

Literate Indicators

Hedging13%
could, might, probably
Passive Voice6%
are indeed, are even, be concerned
Abstract Nouns18%
investment, business, optimism
Subordination8%
although, because, until
Sentence Length46%
Avg: 16.6 words/sentence
Word Complexity49%
investment, analyze, anticipate
Academic Markers0%
Impersonal Style34%
552 personal pronouns found
Descriptive Style100%
apply, deeply, really

Description

Going into 2023, the conventional wisdom was that a recession was likely in store. Instead, it didn't happen. What we saw is continued disinflation, even as the economic growth and the labor market have remained robust. Now going into 2024, there's growing optimism that a soft landing can be achieved. Stocks have been rallying, rates have been falling, and there's a widespread view that the Fed is done hiking. So will this come to pass? On this episode, we speak to Jan Hatzius, the top economist at Goldman Sachs, about why so many people got 2023 wrong, and why he believes the soft landing is now within reach. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.