May 13, 2024· 49 min

Viktor Shvets on How the Fed Has Become a Prisoner of Its Own Making

Orality
Model
82%
Oral-dominant (speeches, podcasts, storytelling)

Speaker Breakdown

HostTracy Alloway(1,771 words)
M:28%
HostJoe Weisenthal(1,634 words)
M:29%
GuestViktor Shvets(5,140 words)
M:28%

Oral Indicators

Agonistic35%
very, completely, totally
Engagement65%
you, our, your
Memory Aids100%
listen, now, so
Repetition100%
what (76x), they (67x), like (59x)
Parallelism90%
And I'm Joe Weisenthal...., So I know that you didn't watc..., And I have to say, there was o...
Sound Patterns42%
40 question(s), alliteration: "markets move", alliteration: "barclays brief"
Formulaic Phrases2%
i mean

Literate Indicators

Hedging12%
could, appear, might
Passive Voice3%
are published, are published, be broken
Abstract Nouns23%
investment, description, monument
Subordination6%
because, unless, until
Sentence Length34%
Avg: 13.5 words/sentence
Word Complexity50%
investment, analyze, anticipate
Academic Markers0%
Impersonal Style35%
614 personal pronouns found
Descriptive Style100%
recently, really, monthly

Description

This week, we'll get fresh inflation data in the US, which will inevitably feed into the Federal Reserve's future decisions to raise, hold or lower benchmark interest rates. Meanwhile, the Biden administration is preparing to announce new tariffs aimed at curbing Chinese imports in key industries, including electric vehicles, batteries and solar cells. On this episode, we speak to Odd Lots favorite Viktor Shvets. The Macquarie strategist has a way of threading the needle between major global events and reaching back into history to provide context for our current macroeconomic moment. He describes the US central bank as a prisoner of its own policies, namely data dependency and the "dot plot." Meanwhile, China faces "massive" overcapacity problems as more and more countries put up barriers to its exports. We also talk about generational shifts and what they mean for investment. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.