October 11, 2024· 46 min

Austan Goolsbee on How This Cycle Turned Out To Be So Different

Orality
Model
88%
Highly oral (epic poetry, sermons, hip-hop)

Speaker Breakdown

HostJoe Weisenthal(1,379 words)
M:29%
HostTracy Alloway(1,886 words)
M:94%
GuestAustan Goolsbee(4,231 words)
M:93%

Oral Indicators

Agonistic18%
definitely, extremely, very
Engagement78%
you, our, your
Memory Aids100%
listen, so, like
Repetition100%
think (68x), like (60x), it's (59x)
Parallelism65%
And I'm Joe Weisenthal...., And they sort of burned the cr..., But, anyway, in case you haven...
Sound Patterns79%
67 question(s), alliteration: "markets move", alliteration: "barclays brief"
Formulaic Phrases7%
you know what, i mean, the thing is

Literate Indicators

Hedging9%
could, maybe, probably
Passive Voice4%
was called, are balanced, was between
Abstract Nouns20%
investment, business, moment
Subordination7%
because, since, until
Sentence Length32%
Avg: 13.0 words/sentence
Word Complexity45%
investment, analyze, anticipate
Academic Markers0%
Impersonal Style22%
660 personal pronouns found
Descriptive Style81%
apply, actually, really

Description

In 2022 and 2023, the Federal Reserve basically had one focus: defeating inflation. That's now changed. Keeping inflation at bay is still important, but the Fed is now attuned to labor market risks as well. On this episode of the podcast, we speak with Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee about how the US economy achieved something that almost nobody thought was possible: a marked decline in inflation without a major increase in the unemployment rate or a slowdown in economic activity. We discuss what actually happened to the economy over the last four years. What was the role of monetary policy in bringing down inflation? How much of the inflation turned out to be transitory all along? And what are the risks today, with the September jobs report having come in much stronger than expected? He explains why the Fed has shifted its priority and how he's thinking of risk management at this point in the economic cycle. Read More: Three Fed Officials Shrug Off CPI Report, Bostic Open to Pause Only Bloomberg.com subscribers can get the Odd Lots newsletter in their inbox — now delivered every weekday — plus unlimited access to the site and app. Subscribe at bloomberg.com/subscriptions/oddlots  See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.