December 2, 2024· 54 min

Goldman's Hatzius and Kostin on Markets and Macro in 2025

Orality
Model
50%

Speaker Breakdown

HostTracy Alloway(2,152 words)
M:29%
GuestJan Hatzius(3,127 words)
M:91%
GuestDavid Kostin(2,694 words)
M:27%

Oral Indicators

Agonistic36%
very, obviously, basically
Engagement65%
you, our, your
Memory Aids100%
listen, now, look
Repetition100%
about (68x), know (66x), think (66x)
Parallelism75%
And I'm Tracy Alloway...., And these are some of my favor..., But, On a serious note, I know...
Sound Patterns73%
73 question(s), alliteration: "markets move", alliteration: "barclays brief"
Formulaic Phrases8%
you know what, i mean, the bottom line

Literate Indicators

Hedging11%
probably, maybe, quite
Passive Voice6%
are expected, are concerned, been applied
Abstract Nouns23%
investment, comment, question
Subordination8%
because, therefore, until
Sentence Length41%
Avg: 15.2 words/sentence
Word Complexity50%
investment, analyze, anticipate
Academic Markers3%
according to
Impersonal Style35%
649 personal pronouns found
Descriptive Style100%
especially, probably, actually

Description

It's trite to say that there is a high degree of uncertainty right now, for macro forecasters and investors. It also happens to be true. The new administration is promising major policy changes in areas like tariffs, immigration, and the size and scope of government. But even beyond that, there is near-term uncertainty over the outlook for the labor market and inflation. Furthermore, we're in an era of high stock valuations, high market concentration, and the AI wildcard. So in light of all this, we talked to Jan Hatzius, the Chief Economist and Head of Global Investment Research, and David Kostin, Goldman's top equity strategist, about what they're looking for in the year ahead. Become a Bloomberg.com subscriber using our special intro offer at bloomberg.com/podcastoffer. You’ll get episodes of this podcast ad-free and exclusive access to our daily Odd Lots newsletter. Already a subscriber? Connect your account on the Bloomberg channel page in Apple Podcasts to listen ad-free. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.