August 29, 2025· 36 min

Emi Nakamura on Central Bank Credibility and the Taylor Rule

Orality
Model
80%
Oral-dominant (speeches, podcasts, storytelling)

Speaker Breakdown

HostJoe Weisenthal(1,069 words)
M:29%
HostTracy Alloway(1,322 words)
M:94%
GuestEmi Nakamura(4,434 words)
M:26%

Oral Indicators

Agonistic47%
obviously, very, basically
Engagement58%
you, our, your
Memory Aids100%
listen, like, now
Repetition100%
inflation (93x), know (76x), like (60x)
Parallelism96%
And I'm Joe Weisenthal...., And, not only do we get a chan..., But, you know, there's just so...
Sound Patterns56%
49 question(s), alliteration: "markets move", alliteration: "barclays brief"
Formulaic Phrases5%
you know what, i mean

Literate Indicators

Hedging10%
may, maybe, could
Passive Voice4%
being presented, be described, be described
Abstract Nouns18%
investment, community, business
Subordination8%
therefore, because, since
Sentence Length41%
Avg: 15.3 words/sentence
Word Complexity51%
investment, analyze, anticipate
Academic Markers3%
according to
Impersonal Style42%
505 personal pronouns found
Descriptive Style100%
apply, internationally, immediately

Description

The post-Covid inflation will prove to be a treasure trove for academic economists, as they study what drives inflation, and the power that central banks have to contain it once it gets going. At this year's Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, UC Berkeley professor Emi Nakamura presented a new paper — co-authored with her Berkeley colleagues Jón Steinsson and Venance Riblier — titled Beyond the Taylor Rule. The paper sought to look at the wide range of choices that global central banks made in dealing with inflation to see what if anything could be learned about the Taylor Rule, a load-bearing idea in modern economics that describes what optimal monetary policy looks like when successfully balancing the Federal Reserve's objectives. Their paper discovers that in any bout of inflation, a central bank that has a greater history of fighting inflation also has the ability to deviate further from strict Taylor Rule guidelines, without achieving worse inflation outcomes. In an interview recorded in Jackson Hole, we speak with Professor Nakamura about her work and its implications for central bankers going forward. Only Bloomberg.com subscribers can get the Odd Lots newsletter in their inbox — now delivered every weekday — plus unlimited access to the site and app. Subscribe at bloomberg.com/subscriptions/oddlots See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.