February 12, 2026· 50 min

New CFTC Chairman Michael Selig on How to Regulate Prediction Markets

Speaker Breakdown

HostJoe Weisenthal(2,227 words)
M:
HostTracy Alloway(1,519 words)
M:

Oral Indicators

Agonistic30%
very, certainly, definitely
Engagement70%
you, your, yours
Memory Aids100%
like, see, so
Repetition100%
like (140x), markets (96x), know (84x)
Parallelism74%
And I'm Tracy Alloway...., So I think it's still, being r..., And singing along, like, mouth...
Sound Patterns82%
89 question(s), alliteration: "when work", alliteration: "two types"
Formulaic Phrases4%
you know what, i mean

Literate Indicators

Hedging7%
may, probably, maybe
Passive Voice9%
is positioned, being resolved, was tempted
Abstract Nouns22%
management, business, retirement
Subordination4%
because, since, however
Sentence Length34%
Avg: 13.5 words/sentence
Word Complexity50%
management, business, empower
Academic Markers0%
Impersonal Style30%
764 personal pronouns found
Descriptive Style90%
lately, differently, actually

Description

We are rapidly entering a world in which there are odds on virtually everything. During the recent Super Bowl, the big prediction market platforms didn't just offer bets on the game itself, but also on more exotic facets, such as the first song that Bad Bunny would sing, even who would join Bad Bunny in the performance. And while a lot of people thinks this looks like gambling, it's actually regulated by the CFTC, an agency created in the 1970s to regulate derivatives. On this episode, we speak with new CFTC Chairman Michael Selig, who was nominated by President Trump and took his position in December. We talk to him about his philosophy, and why it is that these new bets are regulated as financial instruments, rather than gambling products. We talk about the tension that emerges when 18-year-olds can place bets on sports via prediction markets, even though in many states have laws on sports gambling, either banning it outright, or requiring participants to be at least 21. We also talk about crypto regulation, and whether perpetual futures -- which have exploded in the crypto space -- could soon be coming to traditional markets. Read more: Jump Trading Poised to Gain Stakes in Kalshi and Polymarket Gambling Stocks Sag as Prediction Markets Steal Super Bowl Bets Only http://Bloomberg.com subscribers can get the Odd Lots newsletter in their inbox each week, plus unlimited access to the site and app. Subscribe at  bloomberg.com/subscriptions/oddlots Subscribe to the Odd Lots Newsletter Join the conversation: discord.gg/oddlots See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.